La Liga · 2023

Celta Vigo 0–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 0–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.241.36
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Real Madrid): shots 13–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.24–1.36, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Real Madrid16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoReal MadridBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionCelta Vigo · Real Madrid● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoReal MadridBaseline
Possession46%58%53.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsCelta Vigo 13 shots, Real Madrid 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Real Madrid 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG1.36 xGCelta Vigo 1.24 xG, Real Madrid 1.36 xG
  • Possession37%63%Celta Vigo 37%, Real Madrid 63%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersCelta Vigo 3 corners, Real Madrid 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsCelta Vigo 19 fouls, Real Madrid 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran García · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 52′ · 0.19 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 81′ · 0.19 xG · goalÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 32′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 70′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.21 xG. Real Madrid: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.21 xG · Real Madrid 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celta Vigo
0Draws
4Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–0
Celta Vigo — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4
Celta Vigo — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo3 matchesReal Madrid3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.47 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6.67 shots/match
46%Possession3/3● 58%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/35 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Aug 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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