La Liga · 2023Fri, 25 Aug 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

0–1Full-time recap

Real Madrid

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Madrid
Shots	13 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.24 xG/match	1.36 xG/match▲
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	19 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Celta Vigo: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.21 xG. Real Madrid: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.21 xG · Real Madrid 1.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Real Madrid16.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	10.7 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionCelta Vigo · Real Madrid●58%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Madrid	Baseline
Possession	46%	58%	53.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

0Draws

4Real Madrid

22 Apr 2023Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–0

20 Aug 2022Celta Vigo — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4

2 Apr 2022Celta Vigo — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

12 Sept 2021Real Madrid — Celta Vigo · La Liga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 0 · 13 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.33 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.47 xG/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.01 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316.3 shots/match

10.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36.67 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

46%Possessionseason · 3/3●58%

5.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/35 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo12.5

Real Madrid62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo50

Real Madrid87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo45.8

Real Madrid37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo87.5

Real Madrid62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo62.5

Real Madrid37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo62.5

Real Madrid37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo62.5

Real Madrid62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo3 matchesReal Madrid3 matches

0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.33 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.47 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲16.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲6.67 shots/match

46%Possession3/3●58%

5.67 corners/match●Corners3/35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo2 matchesReal Madrid3 matches

—Goals scored2/32 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/30.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.47 xG/match

—Shots2/316.3 shots/match

—Shots on target2/36.67 shots/match

—Possession2/358%

—Corners2/35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Aug 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match