La Liga · 2023Fri, 25 Aug 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasReal Sociedad
Shots11 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.91 xG/match1 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match29 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Viera · Las Palmas · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEnzo Loiodice · Las Palmas · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEnzo Loiodice · Las Palmas · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMunir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Real Sociedad · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenito Ramírez · Las Palmas · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan Viera · Las Palmas · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlex Suárez · Las Palmas · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Cho · Real Sociedad · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 4′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 81′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 74′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMunir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 27′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.92 xG. Real Sociedad: 8 shots, 1 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.92 xG · Real Sociedad 1.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.67 shots/matchShotsLas Palmas · Real Sociedad11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasReal SociedadBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match11.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.7%PossessionLas Palmas · Real Sociedad49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasReal SociedadBaseline
Possession60.7%49.3%53.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 0 · 13 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.93 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.95 xG/match
7.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311.3 shots/match
9.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/31.67 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match
60.7%Possessionseason · 3/349.3%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/36.67 corners/match
6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/321 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas87.5
Real Sociedad37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas25
Real Sociedad37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas75
Real Sociedad41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas12.5
Real Sociedad37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas12.5
Real Sociedad87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas12.5
Real Sociedad87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas18.8
Real Sociedad56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas3 matchesReal Sociedad3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.93 xG/match
7.67 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/31.67 shots/match
60.7%Possession3/349.3%
4 corners/matchCorners3/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
8 fouls/matchFouls3/321 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas2 matchesReal Sociedad1 matches
Goals scored2/1
Goals allowed2/1
Expected goals2/1
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Aug 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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