La Liga · 2023Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadCelta Vigo
Shots11 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.71 xG/match1.13 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners9 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Beñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Fernández · Real Sociedad · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Aidoo · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Aidoo · Celta Vigo · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 22′ · 0.12 xG · goalCarlos Fernández · Real Sociedad · 2′ · 0.16 xG · on targetCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.71 xG. Celta Vigo: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ander Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 22′Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.71 xG · Celta Vigo 1.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Sociedad
1Draws
0Celta Vigo
Real SociedadCelta Vigo · La Liga11
Celta VigoReal Sociedad · La Liga12
Real SociedadCelta Vigo · La Liga10
Celta VigoReal Sociedad · La Liga02

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad2 matchesCelta Vigo2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad2 matchesCelta Vigo1 matches
Goals scored2/1
Goals allowed2/1
Expected goals2/1
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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