La Liga · 2023Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Almería

1–3Full-time recap

Real Madrid

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Almería	Real Madrid
Shots	20 shots/match	25 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.34 xG/match	2.06 xG/match▲
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Almería: 20 shots, 8 on target, 1.30 xG. Real Madrid: 25 shots, 9 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almería 1.30 xG · Real Madrid 2.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Almería

0Draws

2Real Madrid

29 Apr 2023Real Madrid — Almería · La Liga4–2

14 Aug 2022Almería — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Almería favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 0 · 13 too close

—Goals scoredseason · 2/2—

—Goals allowedseason · 2/2—

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

—Shotsseason · 2/2—

—Shots allowedseason · 2/2—

—Shots on targetseason · 2/2—

—Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2—

—Possessionseason · 2/2—

—Cornersseason · 2/2—

—Corners allowedseason · 2/2—

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

—Foulsseason · 2/2—

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

—Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2—

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Almería—

Real Madrid—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Almería2 matchesReal Madrid2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Almería2 matchesReal Madrid2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.92 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples2 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4