La Liga · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cádiz

1–1Full-time recap

Almería

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cádiz	Almería
Shots	11 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.58 xG/match▲	0.26 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	22 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Cádiz: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.60 xG. Almería: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cádiz 1.60 xG · Almería 0.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Almería's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Almería show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Almería's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsCádiz · Almería14.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Cádiz	Almería	Baseline
Shots	11 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

19 fouls/matchFoulsCádiz · Almería16 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Cádiz	Almería	Baseline
Fouls	19 fouls/match	16 fouls/match	13.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Almería have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.3%PossessionCádiz · Almería●50.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Cádiz	Almería	Baseline
Possession	40.3%	50.3%	51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cádiz

2Draws

0Almería

18 Mar 2023Almería — Cádiz · La Liga1–1

30 Dec 2022Cádiz — Almería · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cádiz favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Almería in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31 xG/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.9 xG/match

11 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/314.7 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/315.3 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.33 shots/match

40.3%Possessionseason · 3/3●50.3%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●5 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

19 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/316 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cádiz15

Almería45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cádiz31.7

Almería66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cádiz41.7

Almería15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cádiz65

Almería85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cádiz75

Almería65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cádiz15

Almería55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cádiz37.5

Almería71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cádiz3 matchesAlmería3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots3/3▲14.7 shots/match

2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5 shots/match

40.3%Possession3/3●50.3%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

19 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cádiz2 matchesAlmería1 matches

—Goals scored2/1—

—Goals allowed2/1—

—Expected goals2/1—

—Shots2/1—

—Shots on target2/1—

—Possession2/1—

—Corners2/1—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4