PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGranadaMallorca
Shots10 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.43 xG/match2.62 xG/match▲
Possession53%●47%
Corners5 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match27 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ignasi Miquel · Granada · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Granada · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Granada · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFamara Diédhiou · Granada · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Granada · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Granada · 46′ · 0.07 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJosé Callejón · Granada · 35′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMiguel Rubio · Granada · 13′ · 0.22 xG · goalCyle Larin · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSamú Costa · Mallorca · 87′ · 0.33 xG · goalPablo Maffeo · Mallorca · 1′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 38′ · 0.60 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 18′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Granada: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.45 xG. Mallorca: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Miguel Rubio · Granada · 13′Bryan Zaragoza · Granada · 46′Myrto Uzuni · Granada · 70′Abdón Prats · Mallorca · 38′Samú Costa · Mallorca · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Granada 1.45 xG · Mallorca 2.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Granada have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Granada's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Granada have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3%●PossessionGranada · Mallorca39.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGranadaMallorcaBaseline
Possession52.3%39.3%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Granada show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Granada's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match▲ShotsGranada · Mallorca9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGranadaMallorcaBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match10 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Granada
0Draws
0Mallorca
Mallorca — Granada · La Liga2–6
Granada — Mallorca · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Granada favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.6 xG/match
2.39 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.44 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39.67 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/310 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/32.67 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33 shots/match
52.3%●Possessionseason · 3/339.3%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●5 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.33 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/320.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Granada55
Mallorca5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Granada60
Mallorca36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Granada15
Mallorca65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Granada25
Mallorca55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Granada25
Mallorca85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Granada35
Mallorca55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Granada43.8
Mallorca48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Granada3 matchesMallorca3 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.6 xG/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match
52.3%●Possession3/339.3%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/320.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Granada2 matchesMallorca2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Aug 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGranadaMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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