La Liga · 2023Sun, 27 Aug 2023, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Villarreal

3–4Full-time recap

Barcelona

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	Barcelona
Shots	13 shots/match	21 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.86 xG/match	3.07 xG/match▲
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Villarreal: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.86 xG. Barcelona: 21 shots, 11 on target, 3.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.86 xG · Barcelona 3.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Barcelona19.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	15.3 shots/match	19.7 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	13.7 shots/match	9.33 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

54%PossessionVillarreal · Barcelona●70.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	54%	70.3%	51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Villarreal

0Draws

3Barcelona

12 Feb 2023Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

20 Oct 2022Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga3–0

22 May 2022Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga0–2

27 Nov 2021Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.68 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.19 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/319.7 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/38.33 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33 shots/match

54%Possessionseason · 3/3●70.3%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●6.67 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal60.7

Barcelona96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal72.6

Barcelona94

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal17.8

Barcelona69

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal82.1

Barcelona67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal35.7

Barcelona21.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal67.9

Barcelona92.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal62.5

Barcelona76.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal3 matchesBarcelona3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.68 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲19.7 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲8.33 shots/match

54%Possession3/3●70.3%

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●6.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal2 matchesBarcelona2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.92 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Aug 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4