La Liga · 2023Fri, 1 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cádiz

WLD

3–1Full-time recap

Villarreal

LWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cádiz	Villarreal
Shots	18 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.09 xG/match▲	0.32 xG/match
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	21 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Cádiz: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.11 xG. Villarreal: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cádiz 2.11 xG · Villarreal 0.32 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Cádiz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.8%PossessionCádiz · Villarreal●55%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Cádiz	Villarreal	Baseline
Possession	40.8%	55%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Cádiz show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cádiz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsCádiz · Villarreal13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Cádiz	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	11.5 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Cádiz

2Draws

1Villarreal

24 May 2023Villarreal — Cádiz · La Liga2–0

1 Oct 2022Cádiz — Villarreal · La Liga0–0

20 Mar 2022Cádiz — Villarreal · La Liga1–0

26 Oct 2021Villarreal — Cádiz · La Liga3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cádiz favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.27 xG/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.65 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.3 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414.8 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.25 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

40.8%Possessionseason · 4/4●55%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●4.75 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

19.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cádiz12.5

Villarreal72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cádiz37.5

Villarreal64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cádiz54.2

Villarreal20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cádiz92.5

Villarreal32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cádiz87.5

Villarreal40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cádiz47.5

Villarreal52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cádiz53.8

Villarreal54.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cádiz4 matchesVillarreal4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.27 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots4/413.3 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.25 shots/match

40.8%Possession4/4●55%

4.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●4.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

19.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cádiz3 matchesVillarreal2 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

13.7 shots/matchShots3/2—

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

46%Possession3/2—

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

18.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.08 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Sept 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4