La Liga · 2023Sun, 27 Aug 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Valencia

1–2Full-time recap

Osasuna

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Osasuna
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.69 xG/match▲	1.23 xG/match
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Valencia: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.69 xG. Osasuna: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.69 xG · Osasuna 1.25 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Osasuna12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Osasuna	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	12 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	7.67 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Valencia

0Draws

1Osasuna

11 Mar 2023Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

7 Oct 2022Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga1–2

16 Apr 2022Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

12 Sept 2021Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.16 xG/match

0.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.42 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match

7.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.7 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.67 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match

49.7%●Possessionseason · 3/348%

4.33 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.33 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia46.9

Osasuna34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia52.1

Osasuna59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia85.4

Osasuna67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia34.4

Osasuna59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia62.5

Osasuna31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia37.5

Osasuna12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia51.5

Osasuna43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia3 matchesOsasuna3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.16 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.67 shots/match

49.7%●Possession3/348%

4.33 corners/match●Corners3/33.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia2 matchesOsasuna2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.92 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Aug 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4