La Liga · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LWL

1–0Full-time recap

Valencia

WWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Valencia
Shots	7 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match▲	0.76 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	1 corners/match	2 corners/match●
Fouls	18 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Deportivo Alavés show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Deportivo Alavés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Valencia11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Valencia	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	11 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	12 shots/match	7.5 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Deportivo Alavés

0Draws

1Valencia

13 Feb 2022Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga2–1

27 Aug 2021Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.28 xG/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.94 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/47.5 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.75 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/41.75 shots/match

45.3%Possessionseason · 4/4●52.5%

3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●3.75 corners/match

3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés27.5

Valencia60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés37.5

Valencia35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés52.5

Valencia88.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés57.5

Valencia17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés67.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés22.5

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés40

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés4 matchesValencia4 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.28 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots4/411 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲3.75 shots/match

45.3%Possession4/4●52.5%

3.5 corners/matchCorners4/4●3.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés2 matchesValencia2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4