La Liga · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridGetafe
Shots26 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target12 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.79 xG/match0.39 xG/match
Possession76%24%
Corners11 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjené · Getafe · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarles Aleñá · Getafe · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Getafe · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Getafe · 57′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 11′ · 0.10 xG · goalToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.53 xG · goalJoselu · Real Madrid · 40′ · 0.54 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.73 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 26 shots, 12 on target, 2.87 xG. Getafe: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Joselu · Real Madrid · 47′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′Borja Mayoral · Getafe · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.87 xG · Getafe 0.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/matchShotsReal Madrid · Getafe8.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridGetafeBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match8.75 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match15.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5%PossessionReal Madrid · Getafe32.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 29.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridGetafeBaseline
Possession62.5%32.8%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Madrid
0Draws
1Getafe
Real MadridGetafe · La Liga10
GetafeReal Madrid · La Liga01
Real MadridGetafe · La Liga20
GetafeReal Madrid · La Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/40.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.98 xG/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.6 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/48.75 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/415.8 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/42.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46 shots/match
62.5%Possessionseason · 4/432.8%
6.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/42.5 corners/match
3.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/417.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5
Getafe2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid90
Getafe7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid69.2
Getafe26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid87.5
Getafe72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid7.5
Getafe72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid92.5
Getafe2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid71.2
Getafe22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid4 matchesGetafe4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.98 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots4/48.75 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target4/42.5 shots/match
62.5%Possession4/432.8%
6.5 corners/matchCorners4/42.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/417.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid1 matchesGetafe2 matches
Goals scored1/2
Goals allowed1/2
Expected goals1/2
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.78 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.86 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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