La Liga · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Betis

WDL

1–0Full-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

WWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Betis	Rayo Vallecano
Shots	14 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.08 xG/match	1.52 xG/match▲
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	22 fouls/match	20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Betis: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.12 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.59 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Rayo Vallecano13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Betis	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	16 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsReal Betis · Rayo Vallecano18.8 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Real Betis	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Fouls	15 fouls/match	18.8 fouls/match	13.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Betis

1Draws

0Rayo Vallecano

15 May 2023Real Betis — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–1

8 Jan 2023Rayo Vallecano — Real Betis · La Liga1–2

9 Jan 2022Rayo Vallecano — Real Betis · La Liga1–1

24 Oct 2021Real Betis — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.58 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.78 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.5 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/416 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.75 shots/match

49.8%●Possessionseason · 4/447.8%

2.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●5 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/418.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis52.5

Rayo Vallecano37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis48.3

Rayo Vallecano59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis40

Rayo Vallecano9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis47.5

Rayo Vallecano82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis62.5

Rayo Vallecano82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis7.5

Rayo Vallecano62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis43.1

Rayo Vallecano75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis4 matchesRayo Vallecano4 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.58 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

49.8%●Possession4/447.8%

2.75 corners/matchCorners4/4●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls4/418.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis2 matchesRayo Vallecano3 matches

—Goals scored2/31.33 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/30.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.91 xG/match

—Shots2/314 shots/match

—Shots on target2/36.33 shots/match

—Possession2/345%

—Corners2/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/318.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4