La Liga · 2023Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaAthletic Club
Shots18 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.31 xG/match1.56 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Rubén Peña · Osasuna · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid García · Osasuna · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid García · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Osasuna · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 20′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 20′ · 0.29 xG · goalÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 77′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 11′ · 0.46 xG · goalJohan Mojica · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.28 xG. Athletic Club: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 11′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.28 xG · Athletic Club 1.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Osasuna
1Draws
2Athletic Club
OsasunaAthletic Club · La Liga20
Athletic ClubOsasuna · La Liga00
Athletic ClubOsasuna · La Liga20
OsasunaAthletic Club · La Liga13

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna
Athletic Club
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna2 matchesAthletic Club2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna1 matchesAthletic Club1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Aug 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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