La Liga · 2023Sat, 12 Aug 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAthletic ClubReal Madrid
Shots7 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.45 xG/match0.99 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 28′ · 0.07 xG · goalDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.08 xG · goalAitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.09 xG · on targetÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 76′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 83′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFran García · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.43 xG. Real Madrid: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rodrygo · Real Madrid · 28′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.43 xG · Real Madrid 1.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Athletic Club
1Draws
3Real Madrid
Real MadridAthletic Club · La Liga11
Athletic ClubReal Madrid · La Liga02
Athletic ClubReal Madrid · La Liga12
Real MadridAthletic Club · La Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Aug 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4