La Liga · 2023Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WWDWW

2–2Full-time recap

Getafe

LWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Getafe
Shots	8 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.74 xG/match	1.36 xG/match▲
Possession	48%	52%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.75 xG. Getafe: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.75 xG · Getafe 1.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.43 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe.

4.92 days▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Getafe3.21 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Athletic Club	Getafe	Baseline
Rest days	4.92 days	3.21 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Athletic Club have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7%●PossessionAthletic Club · Getafe38.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Getafe	Baseline
Possession	52.7%	38.1%	48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Athletic Club

4Draws

0Getafe

1 Apr 2023Athletic Club — Getafe · La Liga0–0

18 Oct 2022Getafe — Athletic Club · La Liga2–2

18 Mar 2022Athletic Club — Getafe · La Liga1–1

6 Dec 2021Getafe — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 0 · 4 too close

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/71.43 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.86 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.03 xG/match

0.85 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.47 xG/match

11.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/79.86 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/712.7 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/74 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/75.29 shots/match

52.7%●Possessionseason · 7/738.1%

4.86 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/73 corners/match

3.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/74.71 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/718.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

57%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club62.5

Getafe7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club51.7

Getafe35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club65.8

Getafe27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club17.5

Getafe52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club67.5

Getafe92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club62.5

Getafe2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club51.9

Getafe36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club7 matchesGetafe7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.03 xG/match

11.3 shots/match▲Shots7/79.86 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target7/74 shots/match

52.7%●Possession7/738.1%

4.86 corners/match●Corners7/73 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/718.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club4 matchesGetafe4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.97 xG/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots4/49.5 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match

51.8%●Possession4/437.5%

5.5 corners/match●Corners4/42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls4/419.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4