La Liga · 2023Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

DWLWW

3–0Full-time recap

Athletic Club

WDWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Athletic Club
Shots	8 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.45 xG/match	1.82 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	5 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	20 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.42 xG. Athletic Club: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.42 xG · Athletic Club 1.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad, Athletic Club. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.8 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad, Athletic Club.

2.98 days▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Athletic Club3.08 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Sociedad	Athletic Club	Baseline
Rest days	2.98 days	3.08 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Athletic Club12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Athletic Club	Baseline
Shots	10.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match
Shots against	12 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Sociedad

1Draws

2Athletic Club

15 Apr 2023Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0

14 Jan 2023Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1

20 Feb 2022Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–0

31 Oct 2021Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 7 · 2 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.63 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲1.58 xG/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.92 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲12.1 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲11.3 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲3.88 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 8/85 shots/match

54.1%●Possessionseason · 8/852.3%

4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/8●5.13 corners/match

3.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/84 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

17.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/813.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲50%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 8/863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad82.5

Athletic Club67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad44.2

Athletic Club54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad60

Athletic Club62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad7.5

Athletic Club37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad87.5

Athletic Club67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad35

Athletic Club67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad43.8

Athletic Club56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad8 matchesAthletic Club8 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.58 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots8/8▲12.1 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.88 shots/match

54.1%●Possession8/852.3%

4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8●5.13 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

17.8 fouls/matchFouls8/813.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad5 matchesAthletic Club4 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲0.75 goals/match

1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.43 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots5/412 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/42.75 shots/match

54.8%●Possession5/452.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/4●4.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4