La Liga · 2023Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Madrid

WWWWL

2–0Full-time recap

Las Palmas

LDLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Las Palmas
Shots	21 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.76 xG/match▲	0.72 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid, Las Palmas. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid, Las Palmas.

2.92 days▲Rest daysReal Madrid · Las Palmas3.02 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Madrid	Las Palmas	Baseline
Rest days	2.92 days	3.02 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Las Palmas10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Las Palmas	Baseline
Shots	19 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	12.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.29 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.29 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0 · 4 too close

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.29 goals/match

0.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/70.86 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/70.83 xG/match

1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.27 xG/match

19 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/710.4 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/712.6 shots/match

7.71 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/72.86 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.57 shots/match

59%●Possessionseason · 7/757.6%

6.86 corners/match●Cornersseason · 7/74 corners/match

3.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/76.14 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.71 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/729%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5

Las Palmas87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid90.8

Las Palmas12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid75.8

Las Palmas64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid97.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid7.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid97.5

Las Palmas17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid75

Las Palmas13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid7 matchesLas Palmas7 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.29 goals/match

0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/70.86 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.83 xG/match

19 shots/match▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match

7.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/72.86 shots/match

59%●Possession7/757.6%

6.86 corners/match●Corners7/74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/79.71 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid3 matchesLas Palmas4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.25 goals/match

2.18 xG/match▲Expected goals3/40.84 xG/match

21.3 shots/match▲Shots3/411.8 shots/match

9.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/42.5 shots/match

58.3%●Possession3/456%

7.33 corners/match●Corners3/43.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls3/49.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.02 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4