PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Granada

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasGranada
Shots10 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals0.6 xG/match▲0.04 xG/match
Possession58%●42%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls13 fouls/match19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Máximo Perrone · Las Palmas · 28′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntonio Puertas · Granada · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPejiño · Las Palmas · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Viera · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Granada · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Viera · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · Las Palmas · 74′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG. Granada: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.60 xG · Granada 0.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Granada's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Granada have a visible away split

weak

Granada's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.67 shots/match8.83 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Granada show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Granada's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match▲ShotsLas Palmas · Granada8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasGranadaBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match8.83 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Granada in 5 · 2 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/62.83 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1 xG/match
1.19 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/62.15 xG/match
9.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/68.83 shots/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/613.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲4.33 shots/match
3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/66 shots/match
58.3%●Possessionseason · 6/646.5%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●4.83 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4.17 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
9.83 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/613.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas87.5
Granada32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas8.3
Granada39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas85.8
Granada13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas2.5
Granada7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas2.5
Granada45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas27.5
Granada55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas13.1
Granada38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas6 matchesGranada6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62.83 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1 xG/match
9.5 shots/match▲Shots6/68.83 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4.33 shots/match
58.3%●Possession6/646.5%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/6●4.83 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/613.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas3 matchesGranada3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/33 goals/match
0.81 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.58 xG/match
8.67 shots/match▲Shots3/35.67 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.33 shots/match
59.7%●Possession3/345%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLas PalmasGranada
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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