La Liga · 2023

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Villarreal · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal drew 1–1.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.211.64
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal): shots 11–13, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.21–1.64, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Villarreal12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoVillarrealBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.3%PossessionRayo Vallecano · Villarreal● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoVillarrealBaseline
Possession47.3%57%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsRayo Vallecano 11 shots, Villarreal 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsRayo Vallecano 6 shots, Villarreal 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG1.64 xGRayo Vallecano 1.21 xG, Villarreal 1.64 xG
  • Possession41%59%Rayo Vallecano 41%, Villarreal 59%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersRayo Vallecano 2 corners, Villarreal 8 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls18 foulsRayo Vallecano 20 fouls, Villarreal 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Santi Comesaña · Villarreal · 20′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBebé · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlberto Moreno · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManu Trigueros · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIván Balliu · Rayo Vallecano · 7′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedManu Trigueros · Villarreal · 69′ · 0.14 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 7′ · 0.18 xG · on targetÓscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano · 74′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 86′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRaúl Albiol · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 15′ · 0.21 xG · goalYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.50 xG · on targetKike Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.21 xG. Villarreal: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kike Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 16′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.21 xG · Villarreal 1.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
2Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Villarreal · La Liga1–5
Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano6 matchesVillarreal6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.27 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.7 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64.5 shots/match
47.3%Possession6/6● 57%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.5 corners/match
18.3 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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