Villarreal
La Liga · 2023This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | Villarreal | Girona FC |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match | 17 shots/match▲ |
| Shots on target | 3 shots/match | 5 shots/match▲ |
| Expected goals | 1.91 xG/match | 2.15 xG/match▲ |
| Possession | 53%● | 47% |
| Corners | 5 corners/match | 6 corners/match● |
| Fouls | 9 fouls/match | 11 fouls/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Villarreal: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.93 xG. Girona FC: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.15 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.93 xG · Girona FC 2.15 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal. A second useful context is: Girona FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Villarreal.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Villarreal | Girona FC | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.11 days | 4.21 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Girona FC's recent record differs from the season
weakGirona FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.4 shots/match | 12.1 shots/match | 11.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.
Villarreal favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 9 · 3 too close
Style profile
How the teams compare
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Recent form
Season, last 10 and last 5
Window
Season
Venue split
Home and away samples
Window
Home team at home / away team away
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
More football
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