La Liga · 2023Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

WLWLD
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGetafeVillarreal
Shots22 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals0.95 xG/match0.14 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners6 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Óscar Rodríguez · Getafe · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDiego Rico · Getafe · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Capoue · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Maksimović · Getafe · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGastón Álvarez · Getafe · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Getafe · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 81′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Getafe · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani Parejo · Villarreal · 1′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Getafe · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Getafe · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJuanmi Latasa · Getafe · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Rico · Getafe · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 32′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNemanja Maksimović · Getafe · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJaime Mata · Getafe · 16′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 64′ · 0.14 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Getafe: 22 shots, 9 on target, 0.94 xG. Villarreal: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 0.94 xG · Villarreal 0.12 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe, Villarreal. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Getafe, Villarreal.

2.79 daysRest daysGetafe · Villarreal2.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGetafeVillarrealBaseline
Rest days2.79 days2.79 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Villarreal have a visible away split

weak

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Getafe
1Draws
3Villarreal
VillarrealGetafe · La Liga21
GetafeVillarreal · La Liga00
GetafeVillarreal · La Liga12
VillarrealGetafe · La Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 2 · 5 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.25 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.63 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.21 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.55 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/811.6 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/815.8 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/83.75 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/86 shots/match
41.5%Possessionseason · 8/853.8%
3.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.25 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/85.38 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
18.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/813.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/888%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe12.5
Villarreal77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe50
Villarreal41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe50
Villarreal10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe67.5
Villarreal17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe92.5
Villarreal52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe7.5
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe51.2
Villarreal51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe8 matchesVillarreal8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.21 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots8/811.6 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target8/83.75 shots/match
41.5%Possession8/853.8%
3.38 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
18.3 fouls/matchFouls8/813.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe4 matchesVillarreal4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.01 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots4/49.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/43 shots/match
45.5%Possession4/453%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.79 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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