La Liga · 2023

Atlético Madrid 3–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 3–1.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.371.01
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Real Madrid 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Real Madrid): shots 10–20, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.37–1.01, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Real Madrid18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridReal MadridBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match18.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionAtlético Madrid · Real Madrid● 61%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridReal MadridBaseline
Possession47%61%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.4 corners/matchCornersAtlético Madrid · Real Madrid● 6.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridReal MadridBaseline
Corners5.4 corners/match6.83 corners/match4.75 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsAtlético Madrid 10 shots, Real Madrid 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAtlético Madrid 4 shots, Real Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.01 xGAtlético Madrid 1.37 xG, Real Madrid 1.01 xG
  • Possession36%64%Atlético Madrid 36%, Real Madrid 64%
  • Corners6 corners11 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Real Madrid 11 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsAtlético Madrid 13 fouls, Real Madrid 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 11′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Alaba · Real Madrid · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · Atlético Madrid · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoselu · Real Madrid · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.07 xG · goalMemphis Depay · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRodrygo · Real Madrid · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Atlético Madrid · 31′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 18′ · 0.18 xG · goalÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 4′ · 0.20 xG · goalAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 63′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 46′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. Real Madrid: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Álvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 4′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 18′Álvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 46′Toni Kroos · Real Madrid · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.32 xG · Real Madrid 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Madrid
1Draws
2Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Atlético Madrid — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0
Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid5 matchesReal Madrid6 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61.83 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed5/61 goal/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.7 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/6▲ 18.7 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 7.5 shots/match
47%Possession5/6● 61%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/6● 6.83 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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