PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

Cádiz

LDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaCádiz
Shots12 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.51 xG/match▲0.63 xG/match
Possession62%●38%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls16 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gabriel Paulista · Valencia · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFran Pérez · Valencia · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoger Martí · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJorge Meré · Cádiz · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Pires · Cádiz · 89′ · 0.12 xG · on targetThierry Correia · Valencia · 26′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 4′ · 0.16 xG · goalSergi Guardiola · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 26′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG. Cádiz: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′José Luis Gayà · Valencia · 4′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.59 xG · Cádiz 0.63 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cádiz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Cádiz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Cádiz show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Cádiz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Cádiz9.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaCádizBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match9.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8.9 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cádiz have a visible away split

moderate

Cádiz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match9.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cádiz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cádiz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Valencia
2Draws
2Cádiz
Cádiz — Valencia · La Liga2–1
Valencia — Cádiz · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Cádiz · La Liga0–0
Cádiz — Valencia · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cádiz in 0 · 2 too close

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/100.8 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.4 goals/match
1.02 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/100.85 xG/match
1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/101.48 xG/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/109.1 shots/match
8.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1014.6 shots/match
3.9 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/102.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/105.5 shots/match
48%●Possessionseason · 10/1038%
3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/10●4.4 corners/match
4.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/105.2 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1016.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1050%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia42.5
Cádiz2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia25.8
Cádiz5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia81.7
Cádiz25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia17.5
Cádiz37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia37.5
Cádiz82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia7.5
Cádiz40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia21.2
Cádiz31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia10 matchesCádiz10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.02 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.85 xG/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots10/109.1 shots/match
3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.8 shots/match
48%●Possession10/1038%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/10●4.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia5 matchesCádiz5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.63 xG/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots5/56.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
48%●Possession5/532.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5●4.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/516.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116.3 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaCádiz
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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