PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 1–1 Deportivo Alavés · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal and Deportivo Alavés drew 1–1.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.531.66
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal and Deportivo Alavés drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Deportivo Alavés): shots 12–16, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.53–1.66, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Alavés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Deportivo Alavés14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealDeportivo AlavésBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.7% ●PossessionVillarreal · Deportivo Alavés44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealDeportivo AlavésBaseline
Possession54.7%44.3%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsVillarreal 12 shots, Deportivo Alavés 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsVillarreal 3 shots, Deportivo Alavés 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG1.66 xGVillarreal 1.53 xG, Deportivo Alavés 1.66 xG
  • Possession68%32%Villarreal 68%, Deportivo Alavés 32%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersVillarreal 9 corners, Deportivo Alavés 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsVillarreal 15 fouls, Deportivo Alavés 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndoni Gorosabel · Deportivo Alavés · 85′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRamón Terrats · Villarreal · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbderrahman Rebbach · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge Cuenca · Villarreal · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJorge Cuenca · Villarreal · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Parejo · Villarreal · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnder Guevara · Deportivo Alavés · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Capoue · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 67′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés · 41′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 20′ · 0.26 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 73′ · 0.33 xG · on targetSamu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 48′ · 0.35 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.56 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 65′Samu Aghehowa · Deportivo Alavés · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.56 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Villarreal
0Draws
1Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés — Villarreal · La Liga2–1
Villarreal — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal10 matchesDeportivo Alavés10 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.3 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.4 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession10/1044.3%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners10/104 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealDeportivo Alavés
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headVillarreal — Deportivo Alavés
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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