PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Granada 2–3 Villarreal · La Liga

Granada

LDDDL
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 2–3.

Shots
186
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.091.55
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Granada 3–2. Recorded in this match (Granada – Villarreal): shots 18–6, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.09–1.55, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Granada's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Granada's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Villarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionGranada · Villarreal● 54.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGranadaVillarrealBaseline
Possession43.4%54.6%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots6 shotsGranada 18 shots, Villarreal 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsGranada 8 shots, Villarreal 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG1.55 xGGranada 2.09 xG, Villarreal 1.55 xG
  • Possession46%54%Granada 46%, Villarreal 54%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerGranada 4 corners, Villarreal 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsGranada 14 fouls, Villarreal 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Njegoš Petrović · Granada · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÁlvaro Carreras · Granada · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgnasi Miquel · Granada · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Granada · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 28′ · 0.04 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntonio Puertas · Granada · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShon Weissman · Granada · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosé Callejón · Granada · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 46′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRicard Sánchez · Granada · 29′ · 0.12 xG · goalSergio Ruiz · Granada · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Puertas · Granada · 60′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Granada · 67′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 16′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Puertas · Granada · 40′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 34′ · 0.26 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 18′ · 0.29 xG · goalFamara Diédhiou · Granada · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.33 xG · on targetGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 23′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Granada: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.03 xG. Villarreal: 6 shots, 5 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ricard Sánchez · Granada · 29′Myrto Uzuni · Granada · 34′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 18′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 23′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Granada 2.03 xG · Villarreal 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Granada
1Draws
1Villarreal
Granada — Villarreal · La Liga1–4
Villarreal — Granada · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Granada favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Granada11 matchesVillarreal11 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.36 goals/match
2.55 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.25 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1110.9 shots/match
4.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.82 shots/match
43.4%Possession11/11● 54.6%
4.64 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.36 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 31 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGranadaVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headGranada — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required