La Liga · 2023Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Atlético Madrid

WWWWW

2–1Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

LDLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	11 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.29 xG/match▲	0.49 xG/match
Possession	64%●	36%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.27 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.27 xG · Deportivo Alavés 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atlético Madrid

0Draws

1Deportivo Alavés

2 Apr 2022Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga4–1

25 Sept 2021Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 3 · 2 too close

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/110.82 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/111.45 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/111.23 xG/match

0.9 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/111.28 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/11▲13.5 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/11▲11.5 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/114.09 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/113.82 shots/match

51.5%●Possessionseason · 10/1143.5%

4.4 corners/match●Cornersseason · 10/114 corners/match

5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/11▲3.73 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1113.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/119%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid52.5

Deportivo Alavés27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid74.2

Deportivo Alavés41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid80.8

Deportivo Alavés63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid22.5

Deportivo Alavés87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid7.5

Deportivo Alavés60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid47.5

Deportivo Alavés12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid45

Deportivo Alavés47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid10 matchesDeportivo Alavés11 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/110.82 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/111.45 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals10/111.23 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots10/11▲13.5 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/114.09 shots/match

51.5%●Possession10/1143.5%

4.4 corners/match●Corners10/114 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1113.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atlético Madrid5 matchesDeportivo Alavés6 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/61.33 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.06 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots5/613.3 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/64 shots/match

50.4%●Possession5/646.5%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/6●4.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/612.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4