La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 2–3 Athletic Club · La Liga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 2–3.

Shots
1717
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
2.112.28
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Villarreal 3–2. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Athletic Club): shots 17–17, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 2.11–2.28, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/match ●CornersVillarreal · Athletic Club5.58 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealAthletic ClubBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match5.58 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Athletic Club13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots17 shotsVillarreal 17 shots, Athletic Club 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsVillarreal 6 shots, Athletic Club 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG2.28 xGVillarreal 2.11 xG, Athletic Club 2.28 xG
  • Possession58%42%Villarreal 58%, Athletic Club 42%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersVillarreal 9 corners, Athletic Club 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsVillarreal 11 fouls, Athletic Club 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilias Akhomach · Villarreal · 33′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÉtienne Capoue · Villarreal · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Altimira · Villarreal · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl Albiol · Villarreal · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÍñigo Lekue · Athletic Club · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 86′ · 0.05 xG · goalIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 30′ · 0.06 xG · goalIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 2′ · 0.07 xG · goalGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 56′ · 0.11 xG · on targetÉtienne Capoue · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 63′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 87′ · 0.15 xG · goalGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 47′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 73′ · 0.16 xG · on targetUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 30′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 68′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 18′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.57 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 22′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.12 xG. Athletic Club: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 86′Alexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 87′Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Athletic Club · 2′Nico Williams · Athletic Club · 22′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.12 xG · Athletic Club 2.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Villarreal
1Draws
2Athletic Club
Villarreal — Athletic Club · La Liga5–1
Athletic Club — Villarreal · La Liga1–0
Villarreal — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Villarreal · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal12 matchesAthletic Club12 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.6 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 13.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.75 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession12/1251.2%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners12/125.58 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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