La Liga · 2023Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cádiz

DDLLL

2–2Full-time recap

Sevilla

DWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Cádiz	Sevilla
Shots	10 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.11 xG/match	1.21 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	2 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Cádiz: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. Sevilla: 20 shots, 10 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cádiz 1.12 xG · Sevilla 1.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.18 shots/match▲ShotsCádiz · Sevilla17.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Cádiz	Sevilla	Baseline
Shots	9.18 shots/match	17.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	15.1 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.6 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cádiz have a visible home split

moderate

Cádiz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.18 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	9.18 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cádiz

1Draws

3Sevilla

1 Apr 2023Cádiz — Sevilla · La Liga0–2

21 Jan 2023Sevilla — Cádiz · La Liga1–0

29 Apr 2022Sevilla — Cádiz · La Liga1–1

3 Jan 2022Cádiz — Sevilla · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cádiz favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 9 · 4 too close

0.91 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/101.5 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/10▲1.27 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/101.52 xG/match

9.18 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/10▲17.2 shots/match

15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/10▲12.1 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/10▲5.6 shots/match

5.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/10▲3.6 shots/match

37.7%Possessionseason · 11/10●53.9%

4.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/10●6.1 corners/match

5.09 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/10▲4.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1013.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/10▲20%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/10▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cádiz2.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cádiz6.7

Sevilla82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cádiz18.3

Sevilla59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cádiz47.5

Sevilla97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cádiz87.5

Sevilla47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cádiz32.5

Sevilla92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cádiz31.2

Sevilla79.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cádiz11 matchesSevilla10 matches

0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/101.5 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲1.27 xG/match

9.18 shots/matchShots11/10▲17.2 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲5.6 shots/match

37.7%Possession11/10●53.9%

4.18 corners/matchCorners11/10●6.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cádiz6 matchesSevilla4 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/4▲1.25 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/41.75 goals/match

1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals6/40.93 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots6/4▲14.8 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/4▲4.5 shots/match

41.8%Possession6/4●57.3%

4 corners/match●Corners6/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFouls6/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4