La Liga · 2023

Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–2.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.551.07
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Barcelona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Real Madrid): shots 15–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.55–1.07, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.55 corners/match ●CornersBarcelona · Real Madrid6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaReal MadridBaseline
Corners6.55 corners/match6 corners/match4.49 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Barcelona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barcelona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.09 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Real Madrid17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaReal MadridBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsBarcelona 15 shots, Real Madrid 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsBarcelona 3 shots, Real Madrid 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG1.07 xGBarcelona 1.55 xG, Real Madrid 1.07 xG
  • Possession52%48%Barcelona 52%, Real Madrid 48%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBarcelona 6 corners, Real Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsBarcelona 15 fouls, Real Madrid 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGavi · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGavi · Barcelona · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.03 xG · goalOriol Romeu · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Barcelona · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoselu · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Martínez · Barcelona · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 16′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Christensen · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.28 xG · on targetİlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 6′ · 0.54 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.56 xG. Real Madrid: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′İlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 6′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 68′Jude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 1.56 xG · Real Madrid 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Barcelona
0Draws
2Real Madrid
Barcelona — Real Madrid · La Liga2–1
Real Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga3–1
Real Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga0–4
Barcelona — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona11 matchesReal Madrid11 matches
2.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/112.09 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.73 goals/match
2.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.87 xG/match
16.1 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 17.5 shots/match
6.55 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 7.18 shots/match
67.6% ●Possession11/1157%
6.55 corners/match ●Corners11/116 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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