PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Osasuna 0–1 Valencia · La Liga

Osasuna

DWLLW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 0–1.

Shots
134
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.930.22
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Osasuna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Valencia): shots 13–4, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.93–0.22, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOsasuna · Valencia9.65 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaValenciaBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match9.65 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match10 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots4 shotsOsasuna 13 shots, Valencia 4 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsOsasuna 2 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG0.22 xGOsasuna 1.93 xG, Valencia 0.22 xG
  • Possession65%35%Osasuna 65%, Valencia 35%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerOsasuna 4 corners, Valencia 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsOsasuna 10 fouls, Valencia 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jorge Herrando · Osasuna · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRubén García · Osasuna · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Valencia · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid García · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 18′ · 0.05 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 21′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJorge Herrando · Osasuna · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 65′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 13 shots, 2 on target, 2.00 xG. Valencia: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′André Almeida · Valencia · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 2.00 xG · Valencia 0.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Osasuna
0Draws
3Valencia
Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga1–2
Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna31 matchesValencia31 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.1 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.02 xG/match
11.2 shots/match ▲Shots31/319.65 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target31/313.52 shots/match
48% ●Possession31/3144%
4.39 corners/match ●Corners31/313.06 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOsasunaValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headOsasuna — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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