La Liga · 2023

Valencia 1–2 Real Betis · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 1–2.

Shots
812
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.141.28
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Valencia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Real Betis): shots 8–12, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.14–1.28, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsValencia 8 shots, Real Betis 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsValencia 5 shots, Real Betis 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.28 xGValencia 1.14 xG, Real Betis 1.28 xG
  • Possession54%46%Valencia 54%, Real Betis 46%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersValencia 7 corners, Real Betis 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsValencia 18 fouls, Real Betis 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCenk Özkaçar · Valencia · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPeter González · Valencia · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPepelu · Valencia · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 77′ · 0.07 xG · goalJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 82′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 33′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 62′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.23 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 19′ · 0.41 xG · goalPepelu · Valencia · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Real Betis: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Pepelu · Valencia · 66′Ayoze Pérez · Real Betis · 19′Ayoze Pérez · Real Betis · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.18 xG · Real Betis 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
1Draws
3Real Betis
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga3–0
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga3–0
Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga0–3
Real Betis — Valencia · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Real Betis in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia32 matchesReal Betis32 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.19 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.16 xG/match
9.59 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 3.91 shots/match
44.3%Possession32/32● 50.3%
3.19 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.81 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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