La Liga · 2023

Celta Vigo 4–1 Las Palmas · La Liga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 4–1.

Shots
219
Shots on target
134
Expected goals
3.990.98
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Las Palmas 4–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Las Palmas): shots 21–9, shots on target 13–4, expected goals 3.99–0.98, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo have a visible home split

moderate

Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.9%PossessionCelta Vigo · Las Palmas● 60.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoLas PalmasBaseline
Possession44.9%60.4%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsCelta Vigo 21 shots, Las Palmas 9 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots4 shotsCelta Vigo 13 shots, Las Palmas 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.99 xG0.98 xGCelta Vigo 3.99 xG, Las Palmas 0.98 xG
  • Possession32%68%Celta Vigo 32%, Las Palmas 68%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersCelta Vigo 8 corners, Las Palmas 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsCelta Vigo 10 fouls, Las Palmas 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Munir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMunir El Haddadi · Las Palmas · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPejiño · Las Palmas · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJailson · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMáximo Perrone · Las Palmas · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJailson · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 35′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 21′ · 0.15 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 89′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 82′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 11′ · 0.37 xG · goalCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 39′ · 0.44 xG · goalIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.47 xG · goalIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 76′ · 0.51 xG · goalAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 71′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 21 shots, 13 on target, 4.01 xG. Las Palmas: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 37′Williot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 39′Anastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 71′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 76′Juanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 4.01 xG · Las Palmas 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celta Vigo
0Draws
1Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo32 matchesLas Palmas32 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.94 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/320.84 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots32/3210.4 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.25 shots/match
44.9%Possession32/32● 60.4%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners32/324.44 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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