La Liga · 2023Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Celta Vigo

WLWDL

4–1Historical match

Las Palmas

DLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Las Palmas
Shots	21 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	13 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	3.99 xG/match▲	0.98 xG/match
Possession	32%	68%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Celta Vigo: 21 shots, 13 on target, 4.01 xG. Las Palmas: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 4.01 xG · Las Palmas 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.94 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo have a visible home split

moderate

Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.9 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.9%PossessionCelta Vigo · Las Palmas●60.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Las Palmas	Baseline
Possession	44.9%	60.4%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

0Draws

1Las Palmas

2 Oct 2023Las Palmas — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 2 · 4 too close

1.16 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/320.94 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.22 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 32/320.84 xG/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 32/321.56 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3210.4 shots/match

12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3212.2 shots/match

4.28 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.25 shots/match

4.44 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/324.34 shots/match

44.9%Possessionseason · 32/32●60.4%

5.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 32/324.44 corners/match

5.06 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/325.66 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3210.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/32▲22%

66%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3259%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo27.5

Las Palmas92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo61.7

Las Palmas14.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo30.8

Las Palmas48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo97.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo32.5

Las Palmas7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo72.5

Las Palmas37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo61.2

Las Palmas16.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo32 matchesLas Palmas32 matches

1.16 goals/match▲Goals scored32/320.94 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲1.22 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals32/320.84 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots32/3210.4 shots/match

4.28 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.25 shots/match

44.9%Possession32/32●60.4%

5.09 corners/match●Corners32/324.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo16 matchesLas Palmas16 matches

0.88 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.81 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.5 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals16/160.78 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.5 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163 shots/match

48.5%Possession16/16●58.2%

6.5 corners/match●Corners16/163.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4