La Liga · 2023

Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna · La Liga

2–1Historical match

Osasuna

WLLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 2–1.

Shots
176
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.530.53
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Osasuna 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Osasuna): shots 17–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.53–0.53, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Osasuna's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsRayo Vallecano 17 shots, Osasuna 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRayo Vallecano 6 shots, Osasuna 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.53 xGRayo Vallecano 0.53 xG, Osasuna 0.53 xG
  • Possession64%36%Rayo Vallecano 64%, Osasuna 36%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerRayo Vallecano 5 corners, Osasuna 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsRayo Vallecano 9 fouls, Osasuna 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Iker Muñoz · Osasuna · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Mumin · Rayo Vallecano · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 80′ · 0.04 xG · goalIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 84′ · 0.04 xG · goalRubén García · Osasuna · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 6′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.23 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 17 shots, 6 on target, 0.55 xG. Osasuna: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 80′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 84′Moi Gómez · Osasuna · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 0.55 xG · Osasuna 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
4Osasuna
Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Osasuna · La Liga2–1
Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Osasuna · La Liga0–3
Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano32 matchesOsasuna32 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.44 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.1 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211 shots/match
4.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.34 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession32/3247.7%
4.13 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.28 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls32/3214.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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