La Liga · 2023Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

WLLLW

3–0Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Celta Vigo
Shots	16 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	2.35 xG/match▲	0.22 xG/match
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.36 xG. Celta Vigo: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 2.36 xG · Celta Vigo 0.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.4 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo have a visible away split

moderate

Celta Vigo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés

1Draws

2Celta Vigo

28 Sept 2023Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–1

7 May 2022Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga4–0

27 Nov 2021Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 4 · 3 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲1.12 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.52 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.3 xG/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 33/331.48 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3312.6 shots/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3312.6 shots/match

3.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲4.15 shots/match

3.82 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/334.55 shots/match

41.9%Possessionseason · 33/33●45.5%

5.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/335.03 corners/match

4.61 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 33/335.15 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3312.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3318%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲64%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés2.5

Celta Vigo27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés31.7

Celta Vigo55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés74.2

Celta Vigo29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés97.5

Celta Vigo92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés42.5

Celta Vigo32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés70

Celta Vigo70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés46.2

Celta Vigo56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés33 matchesCelta Vigo33 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲1.12 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.52 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.3 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots33/3312.6 shots/match

3.61 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲4.15 shots/match

41.9%Possession33/33●45.5%

5.03 corners/matchCorners33/335.03 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés17 matchesCelta Vigo17 matches

1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.35 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.88 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.07 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.4 shots/match

3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/173.76 shots/match

41.6%Possession17/17●42.6%

5.82 corners/match●Corners17/173.65 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.19 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4