PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Atlético Madrid 3–1 Athletic Club · La Liga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 3–1.

Shots
87
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.841.01
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Athletic Club 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Athletic Club): shots 8–7, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.84–1.01, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.61 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsAtlético Madrid 8 shots, Athletic Club 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotAtlético Madrid 3 shots, Athletic Club 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.01 xGAtlético Madrid 0.84 xG, Athletic Club 1.01 xG
  • Possession42%58%Atlético Madrid 42%, Athletic Club 58%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAtlético Madrid 3 corners, Athletic Club 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsAtlético Madrid 16 fouls, Athletic Club 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlético Madrid
1Draws
2Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid33 matchesAthletic Club33 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.61 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1 goal/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.47 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots33/3312.5 shots/match
5.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/334.67 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession33/3350.1%
4.67 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.52 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridAthletic Club
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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