La Liga · 2023Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Las Palmas

DDLLL

0–2Full-time recap

Sevilla

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Las Palmas	Sevilla
Shots	5 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.07 xG/match	2.08 xG/match▲
Possession	63%●	37%
Corners	6 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Las Palmas: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.07 xG. Sevilla: 10 shots, 3 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.07 xG · Sevilla 2.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.26 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.2%●PossessionLas Palmas · Sevilla50.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Las Palmas	Sevilla	Baseline
Possession	60.2%	50.5%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Las Palmas

0Draws

1Sevilla

17 Sept 2023Sevilla — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 6 · 4 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲1.26 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.42 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/31▲1.15 xG/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/311.45 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲13.3 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3112.9 shots/match

3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲4.39 shots/match

4.06 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/314.52 shots/match

60.2%●Possessionseason · 31/3150.5%

4.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/31●4.97 corners/match

5.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/31▲4.9 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3112.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3123%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲74%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas92.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas15.8

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas65.8

Sevilla28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas2.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas7.5

Sevilla42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas37.5

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas16.2

Sevilla65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas31 matchesSevilla31 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲1.26 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.42 goals/match

0.84 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲1.15 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots31/31▲13.3 shots/match

3.23 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲4.39 shots/match

60.2%●Possession31/3150.5%

4.45 corners/matchCorners31/31●4.97 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas16 matchesSevilla16 matches

1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.13 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.31 goals/match

0.91 xG/matchExpected goals16/160.93 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲11.4 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲3.75 shots/match

62.6%●Possession16/1649.6%

5.44 corners/match●Corners16/164.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4