La Liga · 2023Sat, 25 May 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Almería

LWLLD

6–1Full-time recap

Cádiz

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Almería	Cádiz
Shots	27 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	12 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	3.16 xG/match▲	0.5 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	1 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	4 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Almería's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Almería's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible home split

strong

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.8 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Almería, Cádiz.

5.98 days▲Rest daysAlmería · Cádiz5.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Almería	Cádiz	Baseline
Rest days	5.98 days	5.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Almería

3Draws

0Cádiz

26 Aug 2023Cádiz — Almería · La Liga1–1

18 Mar 2023Almería — Cádiz · La Liga1–1

30 Dec 2022Cádiz — Almería · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Almería favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Cádiz in 6 · 2 too close

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/380.68 goals/match

1.97 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.45 goals/match

1.3 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 38/380.96 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.39 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/3810.5 shots/match

15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/38▲13.4 shots/match

4.39 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/383.24 shots/match

5.34 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/38▲4.68 shots/match

46.1%●Possessionseason · 38/3842.9%

4.39 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/38●4.47 corners/match

5.79 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/38▲4.58 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3815.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/38▲26%

68%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3853%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Almería37.5

Cádiz7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Almería57.5

Cádiz5.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Almería7.5

Cádiz21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Almería92.5

Cádiz37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Almería42.5

Cádiz87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Almería27.5

Cádiz40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Almería50

Cádiz35.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Almería38 matchesCádiz38 matches

1.13 goals/match▲Goals scored38/380.68 goals/match

1.97 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲1.45 goals/match

1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals38/380.96 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots38/3810.5 shots/match

4.39 shots/match▲Shots on target38/383.24 shots/match

46.1%●Possession38/3842.9%

4.39 corners/matchCorners38/38●4.47 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls38/3815.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Almería19 matchesCádiz19 matches

1.16 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.53 goals/match

1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.89 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.84 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots19/199.26 shots/match

5.58 shots/match▲Shots on target19/192.95 shots/match

50.3%●Possession19/1939.5%

4.68 corners/match●Corners19/194.21 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.98 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 May 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4