La Liga · 2023Sun, 19 May 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cádiz

LDLWW
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCádizLas Palmas
Shots10 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.88 xG/match0.56 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Brian Ocampo · Cádiz · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo Escalante · Cádiz · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Coco · Las Palmas · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Sobrino · Cádiz · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 37′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 35′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChris Ramos · Cádiz · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarc Cardona · Las Palmas · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedChris Ramos · Cádiz · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRubén Sobrino · Cádiz · 44′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedChris Ramos · Cádiz · 32′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cádiz: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG. Las Palmas: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cádiz 0.91 xG · Las Palmas 0.57 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cádiz, Las Palmas. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cádiz, Las Palmas.

3.98 daysRest daysCádiz · Las Palmas2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCádizLas PalmasBaseline
Rest days3.98 days2.98 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionCádiz · Las Palmas59.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCádizLas PalmasBaseline
Possession42.6%59.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cádiz
1Draws
0Las Palmas
Las PalmasCádiz · La Liga11

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cádiz favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 4 · 5 too close

0.68 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/370.86 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/371.24 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/370.88 xG/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/371.48 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3710.3 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/3711.6 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/373.27 shots/match
4.49 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/374.19 shots/match
42.6%Possessionseason · 37/3759.6%
4.49 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/374.24 corners/match
4.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/375.54 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3710.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3722%
51%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3754%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cádiz7.5
Las Palmas92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cádiz5.8
Las Palmas10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cádiz31.7
Las Palmas55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cádiz37.5
Las Palmas2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cádiz87.5
Las Palmas7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cádiz40
Las Palmas22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cádiz35.6
Las Palmas11.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cádiz37 matchesLas Palmas37 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored37/370.86 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.24 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals37/370.88 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots37/3710.3 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target37/373.27 shots/match
42.6%Possession37/3759.6%
4.49 corners/matchCorners37/374.24 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.3 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cádiz19 matchesLas Palmas19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.68 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.42 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.73 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots19/1910.1 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target19/192.68 shots/match
46.4%Possession19/1957.2%
4.74 corners/matchCorners19/193.26 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.98 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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