La Liga · 2023Thu, 16 May 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Las Palmas

LLLLL

2–2Full-time recap

Real Betis

WWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Las Palmas	Real Betis
Shots	16 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.33 xG/match▲	1.27 xG/match
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	4 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.33 goals/match	1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis.

5.23 days▲Rest daysLas Palmas · Real Betis3.94 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Las Palmas	Real Betis	Baseline
Rest days	5.23 days	3.94 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Las Palmas

0Draws

1Real Betis

26 Nov 2023Real Betis — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 9 · 4 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲1.33 goals/match

1.28 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.19 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/36▲1.17 xG/match

1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.37 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲12.9 shots/match

11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3612 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲4.03 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/364.22 shots/match

59.9%●Possessionseason · 36/3650.3%

4.28 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/36●5.72 corners/match

5.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲5.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/36▲33%

56%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas92.5

Real Betis62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas12.5

Real Betis60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas53.3

Real Betis55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas2.5

Real Betis67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas7.5

Real Betis22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas22.5

Real Betis92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas12.5

Real Betis58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas36 matchesReal Betis36 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲1.33 goals/match

1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲1.19 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲1.17 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots36/36▲12.9 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲4.03 shots/match

59.9%●Possession36/3650.3%

4.28 corners/matchCorners36/36●5.72 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas18 matchesReal Betis18 matches

1.06 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.17 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.96 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots18/1810.6 shots/match

3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.61 shots/match

62.2%●Possession18/1849.2%

5.28 corners/matchCorners18/18●5.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.94 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 May 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4