La Liga · 2023Thu, 16 May 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Almería

DLLWL

0–2Full-time recap

Barcelona

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Almería	Barcelona
Shots	12 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.92 xG/match	1.57 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Almería: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG. Barcelona: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almería 0.94 xG · Barcelona 1.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona.

4.02 days▲Rest daysAlmería · Barcelona3.02 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Almería	Barcelona	Baseline
Rest days	4.02 days	3.02 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsAlmería · Barcelona15.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Almería	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	15.3 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Almería's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.6 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Almería

0Draws

2Barcelona

20 Dec 2023Barcelona — Almería · La Liga3–2

26 Feb 2023Almería — Barcelona · La Liga1–0

5 Nov 2022Barcelona — Almería · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Almería favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11 · 2 too close

0.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/36▲2.06 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.19 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/36▲2.11 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/36▲1.09 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/36▲15.8 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/36▲10.6 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/36▲6.11 shots/match

5.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/36▲3.72 shots/match

46.1%Possessionseason · 36/36●64.5%

4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/36●6.28 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/36▲3.81 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3610.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/36▲44%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/36▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Almería37.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Almería47.5

Barcelona90.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Almería7.5

Barcelona78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Almería87.5

Barcelona47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Almería52.5

Barcelona17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Almería52.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Almería55

Barcelona75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Almería36 matchesBarcelona36 matches

0.97 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲2.06 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲1.19 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲2.11 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots36/36▲15.8 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲6.11 shots/match

46.1%Possession36/36●64.5%

4.56 corners/matchCorners36/36●6.28 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls36/3610.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Almería18 matchesBarcelona18 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.22 goals/match

1.52 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.89 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1813.5 shots/match

5.22 shots/matchShots on target18/185.33 shots/match

50.5%Possession18/18●63.6%

4.89 corners/matchCorners18/18●5.28 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.02 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 May 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4