PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 19 May 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaAlmería
Shots29 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals3.01 xG/match▲0.42 xG/match
Possession51%●49%
Corners12 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruno Langa · Almería · 66′ · 0.01 xG · goalChoco Lozano · Almería · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Mallorca · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Robertone · Almería · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Arribas · Almería · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSergi Darder · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 83′ · 0.06 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Radonjić · Mallorca · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo Melero · Almería · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 56′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 11′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 52′ · 0.16 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSergio Arribas · Almería · 41′ · 0.21 xG · goalCyle Larin · Mallorca · 50′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 76′ · 0.23 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 35′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 29′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 29 shots, 8 on target, 2.96 xG. Almería: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Cyle Larin · Mallorca · 29′Sergi Darder · Mallorca · 83′Sergio Arribas · Almería · 41′Bruno Langa · Almería · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 2.96 xG · Almería 0.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Almería. A second useful context is: Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Almería.

4.98 days▲Rest daysMallorca · Almería2.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMallorcaAlmeríaBaseline
Rest days4.98 days2.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Almería have a visible away split

moderate

Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.42 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.42 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

weak

Almería's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Mallorca
1Draws
1Almería
Almería — Mallorca · La Liga0–0
Almería — Mallorca · La Liga3–0
Mallorca — Almería · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Almería in 5 · 2 too close

0.84 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲1 goals/match
1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/372 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/37▲1.25 xG/match
1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 37/371.66 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲12.2 shots/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 37/3715.7 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲4.19 shots/match
3.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/375.38 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 37/37●46.1%
4.57 corners/match●Cornersseason · 37/374.49 corners/match
4.03 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/375.84 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3712.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3716%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲68%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca17.5
Almería37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca20.8
Almería43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca61.7
Almería4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca47.5
Almería82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca80
Almería52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca47.5
Almería40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca44.4
Almería48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca37 matchesAlmería37 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲1 goals/match
1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/372 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲1.25 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots37/37▲12.2 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲4.19 shots/match
44.6%Possession37/37●46.1%
4.57 corners/match●Corners37/374.49 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
15.1 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca19 matchesAlmería19 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.11 goals/match
0.84 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/192.05 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.99 xG/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots19/199.42 shots/match
3.84 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.21 shots/match
47.2%●Possession19/1942%
5.95 corners/match●Corners19/194.11 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMallorcaAlmería
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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