La Liga · 2023Thu, 16 May 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

DDLWL

1–0Full-time recap

Valencia

WLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Valencia
Shots	10 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.28 xG/match▲	0.84 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.30 xG. Valencia: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.30 xG · Valencia 0.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.03 goals/match	1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad.

3.04 days▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Valencia4.15 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Sociedad	Valencia	Baseline
Rest days	3.04 days	4.15 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Valencia9.58 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Valencia	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	9.58 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	10.2 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Sociedad

3Draws

1Valencia

27 Sept 2023Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1

25 Feb 2023Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0

6 Nov 2022Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–1

6 Feb 2022Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0

21 Nov 2021Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 0 · 3 too close

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/361.03 goals/match

1.03 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/361.11 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 36/361.06 xG/match

1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 36/361.22 xG/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 36/369.58 shots/match

10.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3610.7 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/363.5 shots/match

3.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/364.25 shots/match

56.1%●Possessionseason · 36/3644.1%

5.22 corners/match●Cornersseason · 36/363.25 corners/match

3.53 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/364.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3612.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3636%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3664%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad77.5

Valencia12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad54.2

Valencia20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad91.7

Valencia65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad12.5

Valencia7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5

Valencia2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad66.2

Valencia16.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad36 matchesValencia36 matches

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored36/361.03 goals/match

1.03 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/361.11 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals36/361.06 xG/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots36/369.58 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target36/363.5 shots/match

56.1%●Possession36/3644.1%

5.22 corners/match●Corners36/363.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad18 matchesValencia18 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.61 goals/match

1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.91 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots18/188.28 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.28 shots/match

56.3%●Possession18/1840.3%

5.56 corners/match●Corners18/182.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 May 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4