PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Real Sociedad 1–0 Valencia · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Sociedad won 1–0.

Shots
107
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.280.84
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Sociedad beat Valencia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Valencia): shots 10–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.28–0.84, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Valencia4.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal SociedadValenciaBaseline
Rest days3.04 days4.15 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Valencia9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadValenciaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match9.58 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match10.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsReal Sociedad 10 shots, Valencia 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsReal Sociedad 5 shots, Valencia 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.84 xGReal Sociedad 1.28 xG, Valencia 0.84 xG
  • Possession59%41%Real Sociedad 59%, Valencia 41%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersReal Sociedad 3 corners, Valencia 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsReal Sociedad 11 fouls, Valencia 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Javier Guerra · Valencia · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Real Sociedad · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Real Sociedad · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlberto Mari · Valencia · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Le Normand · Real Sociedad · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPeter González · Valencia · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 69′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlberto Mari · Valencia · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAlberto Mari · Valencia · 72′ · 0.63 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.30 xG. Valencia: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.30 xG · Valencia 0.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Sociedad
3Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0
Real Sociedad — Valencia · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad36 matchesValencia36 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.03 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.11 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/361.06 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots36/369.58 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.5 shots/match
56.1% ●Possession36/3644.1%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners36/363.25 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 May 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal SociedadValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headReal Sociedad — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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