La Liga · 2023Sat, 25 May 2024, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

LWLWW

0–2Full-time recap

Atlético Madrid

WWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Atlético Madrid
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.61 xG/match	2.17 xG/match▲
Possession	60%●	40%
Corners	8 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.61 xG. Atlético Madrid: 10 shots, 4 on target, 2.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.61 xG · Atlético Madrid 2.24 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad, Atlético Madrid. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.34 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.34 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad, Atlético Madrid.

5.89 days▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Atlético Madrid5.89 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Real Sociedad	Atlético Madrid	Baseline
Rest days	5.89 days	5.89 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad

2Draws

3Atlético Madrid

8 Oct 2023Atlético Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1

28 May 2023Atlético Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1

3 Sept 2022Real Sociedad — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1

22 May 2022Real Sociedad — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2

24 Oct 2021Atlético Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 5 · 3 too close

1.34 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/38▲1.84 goals/match

1.03 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 38/381.13 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/38▲1.66 xG/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.05 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3812.7 shots/match

10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 38/3811.9 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/38▲5.39 shots/match

3.61 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 38/383.87 shots/match

55.6%●Possessionseason · 38/3850.7%

5.21 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/384.58 corners/match

3.61 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 38/385.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3811.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3834%

74%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/38▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad77.5

Atlético Madrid67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad47.5

Atlético Madrid79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad90.8

Atlético Madrid70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad7.5

Atlético Madrid57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5

Atlético Madrid27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5

Atlético Madrid55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad61.2

Atlético Madrid59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad38 matchesAtlético Madrid38 matches

1.34 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲1.84 goals/match

1.03 goals/match▲Goals allowed38/381.13 goals/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲1.66 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots38/3812.7 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲5.39 shots/match

55.6%●Possession38/3850.7%

5.21 corners/match●Corners38/384.58 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.9 fouls/matchFouls38/3811.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad19 matchesAtlético Madrid19 matches

1.37 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.47 goals/match

1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.11 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.32 xG/match

12.9 shots/match▲Shots19/1911.2 shots/match

4.79 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.21 shots/match

56.5%●Possession19/1951.9%

5.68 corners/match●Corners19/194.95 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.89 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 May 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4