PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDeportivo AlavésLeganés
Shots18 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.13 xG/match▲0.93 xG/match
Possession60%●40%
Corners13 corners/match●8 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kike García · Deportivo Alavés · 30′ · 0.00 xG · on targetDani Raba · Leganés · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 88′ · 0.02 xG · goalToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStoichkov · Deportivo Alavés · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCarlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés · 60′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 76′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Mouriño · Deportivo Alavés · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Leganés · 18′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDiego García · Leganés · 48′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 68′ · 0.47 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.14 xG. Leganés: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Carlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 88′Óscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 1.14 xG · Leganés 0.95 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Leganés7.87 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésLeganésBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match7.87 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Leganés in 2 · 3 too close

1.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/150.93 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.33 goals/match
1.04 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 15/150.7 xG/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/151.48 xG/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/157.87 shots/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1514.1 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/152.53 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.93 shots/match
43.5%●Possessionseason · 15/1542.7%
4.8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/152.8 corners/match
4.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/156 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
16.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1513.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲27%
67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés22.5
Leganés12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés42.5
Leganés12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés40.8
Leganés26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés72.5
Leganés7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés92.5
Leganés67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés57.5
Leganés2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés58.8
Leganés21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés15 matchesLeganés15 matches
1.07 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.33 goals/match
1.04 xG/match▲Expected goals15/150.7 xG/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots15/157.87 shots/match
3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target15/152.53 shots/match
43.5%●Possession15/1542.7%
4.8 corners/match●Corners15/152.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés7 matchesLeganés8 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81 goals/match
1.14 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.63 goals/match
0.98 xG/match▲Expected goals7/80.53 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots7/87.25 shots/match
3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/82.5 shots/match
43.4%●Possession7/840.8%
6.86 corners/match●Corners7/83.38 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/813.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsDeportivo AlavésLeganés
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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