La Liga · 2024Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Espanyol

WLLLL

3–1Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

LLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Espanyol	Celta Vigo
Shots	9 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.85 xG/match	1.61 xG/match▲
Possession	21%	79%●
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Espanyol: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.85 xG. Celta Vigo: 16 shots, 2 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 0.85 xG · Celta Vigo 1.67 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.53 goals/match	1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.57 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Celta Vigo11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Espanyol	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Shots	9.57 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.4 shots/match	11.9 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.2%PossessionEspanyol · Celta Vigo●54.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Espanyol	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Possession	38.2%	54.3%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Espanyol

1Draws

2Celta Vigo

18 Mar 2023Espanyol — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–3

13 Aug 2022Celta Vigo — Espanyol · La Liga2–2

10 Apr 2022Espanyol — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0

17 Dec 2021Celta Vigo — Espanyol · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 11 · 2 too close

1.07 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/15▲1.53 goals/match

1.93 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/15▲1.8 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/15▲1.5 xG/match

1.87 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/15▲1.22 xG/match

9.57 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/15▲11.7 shots/match

15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/15▲11.9 shots/match

2.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/15▲4.47 shots/match

5.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/15▲4.07 shots/match

38.2%Possessionseason · 14/15●54.3%

4.21 corners/match●Cornersseason · 14/153.4 corners/match

5.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/15▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1511 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/15▲13%

64%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/15▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol2.5

Celta Vigo72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol24.2

Celta Vigo67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol7.5

Celta Vigo30.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol67.5

Celta Vigo27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol82.5

Celta Vigo12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol25

Celta Vigo7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol33.1

Celta Vigo36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Espanyol14 matchesCelta Vigo15 matches

1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/15▲1.53 goals/match

1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲1.8 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals14/15▲1.5 xG/match

9.57 shots/matchShots14/15▲11.7 shots/match

2.36 shots/matchShots on target14/15▲4.47 shots/match

38.2%Possession14/15●54.3%

4.21 corners/match●Corners14/153.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1511 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Espanyol7 matchesCelta Vigo7 matches

1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.43 goals/match

1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72.57 goals/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.47 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲12.6 shots/match

3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.86 shots/match

39.7%Possession7/7●56.6%

4.71 corners/match●Corners7/73.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4