PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Fri, 6 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoMallorca
Shots12 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals0.89 xG/match▲0.84 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ilaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 32′ · 0.02 xG · goalChiquinho · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSiebe Van Der Heyden · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavi Llabrés · Mallorca · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 82′ · 0.06 xG · goalFer López · Celta Vigo · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 42′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 7′ · 0.09 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.36 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 41′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.89 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Hugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 32′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.89 xG · Mallorca 0.85 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca. A second useful context is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mallorca.

6.1 days▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Mallorca3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoMallorcaBaseline
Rest days6.1 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.1%●PossessionCelta Vigo · Mallorca46.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoMallorcaBaseline
Possession54.1%46.1%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
3Mallorca
Mallorca — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Mallorca · La Liga0–1
Celta Vigo — Mallorca · La Liga0–1
Mallorca — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Mallorca · La Liga4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 3 · 3 too close

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/170.94 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/17▲1.18 goals/match
1.46 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 16/171.07 xG/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/171.13 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1710.4 shots/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1713.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/173.71 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/17▲3.76 shots/match
54.1%●Possessionseason · 16/1746.1%
3.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/17●4.41 corners/match
3.94 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/175.47 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1711.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/17▲29%
88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1765%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo72.5
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo67.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo32.5
Mallorca45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo32.5
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo12.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo7.5
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo36.2
Mallorca37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo16 matchesMallorca17 matches
1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored16/170.94 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲1.18 goals/match
1.46 xG/match▲Expected goals16/171.07 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots16/1710.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.71 shots/match
54.1%●Possession16/1746.1%
3.38 corners/matchCorners16/17●4.41 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo9 matchesMallorca8 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/81.13 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.25 goals/match
1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.22 xG/match
11 shots/match▲Shots9/810.3 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/83.75 shots/match
52.1%●Possession9/848.1%
3.56 corners/match●Corners9/83.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/813.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Celta Vigo vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath