PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasReal Valladolid
Shots11 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals1.1 xG/match1.41 xG/match▲
Possession58%●42%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Machís · Real Valladolid · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEray Cömert · Real Valladolid · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJosé Campaña · Las Palmas · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 64′ · 0.05 xG · goalBenito Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuanmi Latasa · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Loiodice · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 20′ · 0.19 xG · goalKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 36′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedJaime Mata · Las Palmas · 86′ · 0.51 xG · on targetMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 45′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.13 xG. Real Valladolid: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 20′Sandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 64′Marcos André · Real Valladolid · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.13 xG · Real Valladolid 1.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsLas Palmas · Real Valladolid9.19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasReal ValladolidBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match9.19 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 1 · 5 too close

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/160.69 goals/match
1.69 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/162.13 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/160.98 xG/match
1.85 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.83 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/169.19 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1615.3 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/162.31 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/165.44 shots/match
52.9%●Possessionseason · 16/1642.7%
4 corners/match●Cornersseason · 16/163.88 corners/match
5.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/165.63 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲19%
81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1656%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas67.5
Real Valladolid12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas57.5
Real Valladolid7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas13.3
Real Valladolid7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas22.5
Real Valladolid27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas52.5
Real Valladolid67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas20
Real Valladolid12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas45.6
Real Valladolid23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas16 matchesReal Valladolid16 matches
1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.69 goals/match
1.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162.13 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals16/160.98 xG/match
10.9 shots/match▲Shots16/169.19 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.31 shots/match
52.9%●Possession16/1642.7%
4 corners/match●Corners16/163.88 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas8 matchesReal Valladolid8 matches
1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.75 goals/match
1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.92 xG/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shots8/87.5 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.25 shots/match
54.5%●Possession8/841.3%
4.88 corners/match●Corners8/83.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/813.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLas PalmasReal Valladolid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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