PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 1–0 Valencia · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Valladolid won 1–0.

Shots
214
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.550.85
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Valladolid beat Valencia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Valencia): shots 2–14, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.55–0.85, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.53 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.25 shots/match9.53 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Valladolid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Valladolid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.76 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Valencia9.53 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidValenciaBaseline
Shots8.76 shots/match9.53 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match9.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots2 shots14 shotsReal Valladolid 2 shots, Valencia 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsReal Valladolid 1 shot, Valencia 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.85 xGReal Valladolid 0.55 xG, Valencia 0.85 xG
  • Possession33%67%Real Valladolid 33%, Valencia 67%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersReal Valladolid 1 corner, Valencia 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsReal Valladolid 10 fouls, Valencia 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

André Almeida · Valencia · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRafa Mir · Valencia · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 55′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRafa Mir · Valencia · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 89′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Meseguer · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAnuar · Real Valladolid · 20′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.56 xG. Valencia: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Anuar · Real Valladolid · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.56 xG · Valencia 0.86 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid17 matchesValencia15 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored17/15▲ 0.87 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed17/15▲ 1.53 goals/match
0.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/150.86 xG/match
8.76 shots/matchShots17/15▲ 9.53 shots/match
2.24 shots/matchShots on target17/15▲ 3 shots/match
42.1%Possession17/15● 47.7%
3.71 corners/matchCorners17/15● 5.87 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1511.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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