La Liga · 2024Fri, 13 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Valladolid

LDLLL

1–0Full-time recap

Valencia

LDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Valladolid	Valencia
Shots	2 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	2 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.55 xG/match	0.85 xG/match▲
Possession	33%	67%●
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Valladolid: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.56 xG. Valencia: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.56 xG · Valencia 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.87 goals/match	1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.25 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.53 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.25 shots/match	9.53 shots/match	11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Valladolid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Valladolid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.76 shots/match▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Valencia9.53 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Valladolid	Valencia	Baseline
Shots	8.76 shots/match	9.53 shots/match	11.5 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	9.8 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Real Valladolid

0Draws

1Valencia

27 Apr 2023Valencia — Real Valladolid · La Liga2–1

29 Jan 2023Real Valladolid — Valencia · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Valladolid favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 8 · 2 too close

0.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/15▲0.87 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/15▲1.53 goals/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 17/150.86 xG/match

1.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/15▲1.42 xG/match

8.76 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/15▲9.53 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/15▲9.8 shots/match

2.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/15▲3 shots/match

5.24 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/15▲3.33 shots/match

42.1%Possessionseason · 17/15●47.7%

3.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/15●5.87 corners/match

5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/15▲4.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1511.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1520%

59%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1553%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Valladolid7.5

Valencia47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Valladolid5.8

Valencia15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Valladolid7.5

Valencia62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Valladolid27.5

Valencia17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid57.5

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Valladolid12.5

Valencia92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Valladolid20

Valencia38.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Valladolid17 matchesValencia15 matches

0.71 goals/matchGoals scored17/15▲0.87 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed17/15▲1.53 goals/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals17/150.86 xG/match

8.76 shots/matchShots17/15▲9.53 shots/match

2.24 shots/matchShots on target17/15▲3 shots/match

42.1%Possession17/15●47.7%

3.71 corners/matchCorners17/15●5.87 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1511.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Valladolid9 matchesValencia8 matches

0.67 goals/match▲Goals scored9/80.38 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/81.75 goals/match

0.99 xG/match▲Expected goals9/80.65 xG/match

9.89 shots/match▲Shots9/87.25 shots/match

2.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/81.88 shots/match

42.9%Possession9/8●47.6%

4.11 corners/matchCorners9/8●4.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls9/812.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples17 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4