PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Wed, 18 Dec 2024, 20:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolValencia
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals2.05 xG/match▲1.99 xG/match
Possession46%54%●
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls13 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Diego López · Valencia · 33′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSergi Canós · Valencia · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrian Oliván · Espanyol · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoniu Roca · Espanyol · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAndré Almeida · Valencia · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Valencia · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Guillamón · Valencia · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 47′ · 0.10 xG · goalWalid Cheddira · Espanyol · 34′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 13′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 59′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 76′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 26′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 45′ · 0.40 xG · on targetJavi Puado · Espanyol · 44′ · 0.42 xG · goalJavi Puado · Espanyol · 21′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 35′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 41′ · 0.59 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Espanyol: 10 shots, 3 on target, 2.09 xG. Valencia: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Javi Puado · Espanyol · 44′Diego López · Valencia · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 2.09 xG · Valencia 1.93 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.81 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.81 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Espanyol show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Espanyol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.53 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Valencia9.81 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolValenciaBaseline
Shots9.53 shots/match9.81 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match9.81 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Espanyol
3Draws
0Valencia
Valencia — Espanyol · La Liga2–2
Espanyol — Valencia · La Liga2–2
Espanyol — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Espanyol · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 7 · 5 too close

0.94 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/160.88 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/16▲1.5 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 17/160.93 xG/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/16▲1.46 xG/match
9.53 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/169.81 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/16▲9.81 shots/match
2.35 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/16▲3.06 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/16▲3.31 shots/match
40.1%Possessionseason · 17/16●48.1%
4.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/16●5.94 corners/match
5.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/16▲4.31 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1611.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/16▲19%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1656%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol2.5
Valencia42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol15
Valencia15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol7.5
Valencia60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol57.5
Valencia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol77.5
Valencia22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol27.5
Valencia92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol31.2
Valencia37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Espanyol17 matchesValencia16 matches
0.94 goals/match▲Goals scored17/160.88 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲1.5 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals17/160.93 xG/match
9.53 shots/matchShots17/169.81 shots/match
2.35 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲3.06 shots/match
40.1%Possession17/16●48.1%
4.18 corners/matchCorners17/16●5.94 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Espanyol9 matchesValencia9 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.8 xG/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots9/98 shots/match
3.11 shots/match▲Shots on target9/92.11 shots/match
40.7%Possession9/9●48.3%
4.67 corners/match●Corners9/94.56 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.8 fouls/matchFouls9/912.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.02 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Dec 2024, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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