PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasEspanyol
Shots10 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals0.94 xG/match▲0.75 xG/match
Possession58%●42%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Javi Puado · Espanyol · 24′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Fuster · Las Palmas · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Romero · Espanyol · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi Puado · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · Espanyol · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarvin Park · Las Palmas · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMika Mármol · Las Palmas · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 67′ · 0.07 xG · goalSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJavi Puado · Espanyol · 38′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAntoniu Roca · Espanyol · 53′ · 0.27 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 71′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.93 xG. Espanyol: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Sandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.93 xG · Espanyol 0.71 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol.

7 days▲Rest daysLas Palmas · Espanyol3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLas PalmasEspanyolBaseline
Rest days7 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsLas Palmas · Espanyol9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasEspanyolBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Espanyol in 1 · 5 too close

1.28 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/180.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.67 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/180.9 xG/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.66 xG/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/189.5 shots/match
15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/1814.5 shots/match
3.94 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/182.33 shots/match
4.56 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/185.28 shots/match
52.4%●Possessionseason · 18/1840.2%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/18●4.06 corners/match
5.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/185.28 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1814 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1811%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1856%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas67.5
Espanyol2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas51.7
Espanyol11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas24.2
Espanyol12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas27.5
Espanyol57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas50
Espanyol82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas17.5
Espanyol30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas40.6
Espanyol33.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas18 matchesEspanyol18 matches
1.28 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals18/180.9 xG/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots18/189.5 shots/match
3.94 shots/match▲Shots on target18/182.33 shots/match
52.4%●Possession18/1840.2%
4 corners/matchCorners18/18●4.06 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1814 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas9 matchesEspanyol9 matches
1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/92.11 goals/match
1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.59 xG/match
13 shots/match▲Shots9/98.67 shots/match
3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/91.56 shots/match
54.9%●Possession9/939.7%
4.56 corners/match●Corners9/93.44 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.9 fouls/matchFouls9/914.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLas PalmasEspanyol
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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